INTEGRATED WEBSITE USABILITY EVALUATION MODEL USING FUZZY ANALYTICAL HIERARCHY PROCESS AND ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

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ABSTRACT

Numerous websites in this contemporary time have been plagued with many usability issues which have  hitherto  made  the  websites  not  effective  and  efficient  for  users  while  searching  for information.  Consequently,  different website usability evaluation models have been proposed to help in evaluating websites. However, most existing models are rather too ambiguous and not easy to use. Also,  selecting and ranking websites based on usability with respect to numerous criteria have become a very important decision-making  process among users.  Additionally,  there is no existing machine leaning model developed to classify websites usability based on user’s rating due to lack ofusability ratings data. This thesis therefore proposes a new integrated usability evaluation model using Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) with Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Five criteria of Speed (S%a). Navigation (N), Ease-of-use (Eo), Content (C%a) and Aesthetic (A) obtained through factor extraction out of initial seven criteria proposed are used in the study.  Six Nigerian universities websites with good webometrics ranking are used as alternatives. These are University  of Ibadan (UI),  Covenant University  (CU),  Obafemi Awolowo  University  (OAU), University  of Nigeria  Nsukka  (UNN),  University  of Lagos  (UNILAG)  and  Ahmadu  Bello University (ABU) websites. Two sets of usability data were collected via google forms from 233 and 169 participants. Results from FAHP indicates that UI website has the highest global priority weight and hence is ranked as number one.  This is followed by CU,  OAU, UNILAG, UNN and ABU websites respectively. Also, final criteria weights obtained are 0.321S%, 0.208N~, 0.197E%6, 0.166C%  and 0.108Aa, respectively.  This implies that the first and most important  criteria to website users is speed. Weights obtained from FAHP model were preprocessed and used to train six machine learning algorithms which are Artificial Neural network (ANN), Random Forest (RF), Decision  Tree  (J48),  Simple  Logistic  regression  (SLOG),  Bayesian  Network  (BaNET)  and Logistic  Model  Tree (LMT).  Results  show that ANN has the best  overall performance  with accuracy (Ac) of 93.36% while RF, LMT, SLOG, J48 and BaNET have 90.12% A, 88.09% A&, 88.18%A, 88.18% Ac and 83.63% Ace respectively. The FAHP model is further integrated with ANN to classify the user’s websites usability ratings.  The ANN structure is 5-3-1 with logsig and trainbr as activation and transfer functions respectively. The best performance  was obtained at learning rate (l)  of 0.8, momentum  (m) of 0.9 and threshold value(h)  of 0.59. Further results obtained  shows  a precision  (P),  recall  (Rae)  and F-measure  (Fame)  values  of 98.44%P,  and 95.45%Rand 0.96F~ respectively. It is recommended that this integrated model, which can be used for users’ websites usability evaluation, ranking and prediction be adopted by IT practitioners and web developers.

CHAPTER ONE

1.0               INTRODUCTION

1.1               Background to the Study

The internet is nowadays  a major source of information  through the use of websites, and as a consequence, websites generally have been serving as information gateway to different types of organisations  (Dingli and Cassar, 2014; Esmeria and Seva, 2017; Monzer, 2015; Sun et al., 2017). Nowadays, websites offer an easy means of searching and retrieving information about any kind of organisation.  Basically in this information technology era,  the first impression users of websites have about  organisation  is virtually  based on the look of its website (Ismailova and Kimsanova, 2017). According  to the Internet World  Statistics   (Internet World  Stats,  2020)   population  of internet users in the world is now over 4.5 billion from 360 million in 2000 with 58.81 % penetration rate. Following a similar rate, in Nigerian internet users’ population have grown from two hundred thousand (200,000) in the year 2000 to over one hundred and twenty-three million (123,000,000) as at June,  2020 with 61.4. 7% penetration rate. All these point to the fact that accessing different types  of website  is inevitable  and a must  task  for these billions  of different  users  in today’s information technology driven world.

Consequently,  websites have become an essential tool for many organisation because of its wide reach, broad acceptance and general capability to share information. Till date millions of websites have been created and developed  and there exist every kind of websites varying  from easy to difficult-to-use (Dominic et al., 2013; Rajapaksha  and Fernando, 2016).  In addition to this, vital roles  are being  played  by  the  web  in  the  diverse  domains  of business,  education,  industry, agriculture, health  and  entertainment  among  others.  Hence, the  degree  of website  usability  and quality coupled with its development has been a major concern to usability researchers (Almahamid et al., 2016; Djordj et al., 2013; Manzoor et al., 2012; Mvungi and Tossy, 2015) Different genre of websites exists and each is suitable for a particular audience or purpose. Among these are academic websites for educational institutions like universities, polytechnics, colleges and specialized  institutions. Other genre includes e-commerce  websites, hotel and tourism websites, airline  websites,  e-government  websites,  banking  websites, political  party  websites  and many others. For academic institutions, their websites are meant to provide information to a wide range ofusers which include prospective and enrolled students, staff, parents, institutional ranking bodies as well as other categories ofusers. These websites not only serves as a platform for the stakeholders to exchange information, they   also serve as communication  tools and help to shape its image (Mentes and Turan, 2012; Abdallah and Jaleel, 2015; Galovicova et al., 2016).

Today,  millions of people are searching for information  on university  websites annually.  These includes, prospective  students looking for schools on potential courses available,  subject experts, fees information among other vital information (Affandy et al., 2017; Alahmadi and Drew, 2016; Jati et al., 2018) Enrolled students search for course information, lecture location, materials and times, account access, results updates, schools’ calendars, fees payment, news update, teacher’s information. Prospective  applicants  may search for job prospect, vacancies, available  facilities, research output, funded projects, sample thesis and project. The main underlining issue is that users should  find what  they  are searching  for easily and the content  should  be easy to understand (Sarsarabi and Sarsarabi, 2015).

In Nigeria, there is increasing competition  among the universities  especially with respect to web visibility ranking. At present, there are a total of 172  (one hundred and seventy two) universities comprising forty four (44) Federal universities,  forty nine two (49) States universities and  seventy nine (79) private universities  respectively  as released by National University  Commission  (NU C, 2021) In the latest webometric ranking of higher institutions, there is no university in Nigeria among the top one thousand (1000), while twenty six universities are in the category of top five thousand (5000),  fifty six (56) appear in the top ten thousand  (10,  000),  while the rest are in the rank  of between ten thousand (10000) and  twenty three thousand (23, 000) out of the total of twenty three thousand, three hundred and sixty eight   (23,368) institutions worldwide that were included (Cybermetrics Labs, 2020). Nevertheless, while this statistic is not encouraging, there is still greater web presence  among  Nigerian  universities  than  what  was  obtained  in the past.    It is therefore necessary to see how this can improve over time.

Having a good web presence will make potential  users to know about the school and this will in tum  attract many more visitors to the school websites.  As a result,  all universities  therefore will strive as much as possible  to have a user-friendly  website which are both functional  and usable. Due  to  increased  competition,  universities  seek  to  attract  the  best  of all  students,  faculty  and research grants.  Hence, there is dire need to increase the web visibility of each university websites (Kargar,  2012;  Okello-Obura,  2015; Peker et al., 2016).  To achieve this,  there have been several attempts in rebranding and redesigning of websites by various universities administration. All these are with the aim of making their websites accessible,  usable and have positive impact on users. Hence,  the need to improve on the usability and quality of these websites so as to prevent users from being frustrated  in this information age. Also, in this competitive era, if users cannot find what they are looking for, they will simply tum to competitor’s websites.  This necessitates  the need for a good usability (Manzoor et al., 2019).

In this information age, users of any websites are mostly concerned with two major issues finding the information being sought with ease and finding it in a timely fashion.  To achieve this, a high level of usability which is one of the important criteria in measuring website   quality is required (Aziz and Adzhar, 2015; Roy et al., 2016).  According to International Standard Organisation, ISO 9241-11, usability can be defined as “the extent to which a product, service or system can be used by specified users to achieve specified goals with effectiveness, efficiency and satisfaction  in a specified context ofuse”.  It is further defined as the effectiveness, efficiency, and satisfaction with which specified users achieve specified goals in particular environments (Speicher, 2015).

From websites context, usability is seen as an important attribute of quality which describes how easy it is for users to navigate through the website.  It can be viewed as the extent to which a goal can  be  achieved  by  users  successfully  by  learning  and  using  websites.  As  earlier  stated,  a functioning  website  is needed by every organisation  for easy information  dissemination  to the public. In this context, university websites as specialized genre ofwebsites are supposed to be given adequate attention in terms of usability due to numerous services to its users worldwide (Yerlikaya and Durdu, 2017).  However, many existing websites have been discovered over the years to have usability problems (Arasid et al., 2018; Stoimenova and  Christozov, 2013). This has consequently led to the growing interest by researchers to develop users’ models to measure and evaluate website usability so as to fully discover its inherent problems.  In further response to this, there have been increasing attention in website usability evaluation model research in the field of Human Computer Interaction  (HCI) (Leung et al., 2016; Nagpal  et al., 2016b; Presley and Fellows,  2013) .   In HCI, usability   of  interfaces   is  being   considered   a  factor   of  growing   importance   in  application development, especially  in web-based  application. According  to Peker  et al.  (2016), usability  of websites  is one of the popular  subjects  in the   HCI  literature  which  focuses  on the  interaction between people and Information  & Communication  Technologies  (ICTs). Several research  efforts have shown that usability  is one of the most important  issues in ICTs (Affandy  et al., 2017;  Das and  Patil, 2014;  Mvungi and Tossy,  2015; Nagpal  et al., 2016a; Niazi et al., 2020).  Till date, one of the challenges  faced by HCI researchers  is how best to measure or evaluate website usability.

As  a  result  of this,  several  researchers   have  proposed   different  models  for  website  usability evaluation.   Most of these models  are based  on inspection  methods  and formal experimental  test which are generally known as the traditional approach  (Affandy et al., 2017; Hussain and  Kadhim, 2014; Ismailova and Kimsanova, 2017; Majrashi  and Hamilton, 2015; Nagpal et al., 2016b;  Subair and Aleisa,  2016).  However, in usability there are several criteria involved and determining  which one contributes more to usability and at the same time ranking the alternative websites based on the criteria is a complex decision-making  process.  This therefore requires the formulation  of websites usability   problem   by  using   a  Multi-Criteria   Decision   Making   (MCDM)   approach.  Website evaluation  hence, belongs  to MCDM  field which involves  making  a preference  decision,  such as evaluation  or selection  over the available  alternatives  using  a set of criteria.  In MCDM  several alternatives are usually involved, among which the decision-makers  (DMs) have to give weights to each criterion  (Jain et al., 2016;  Ozkan et al., 2020) Also,  with the advent of machine learning, attempt to use machine learning  techniques in usability evaluation  research  have  achieved  little or no success  (Boza et al., 2014; Korvald et al., 2014; Nayebi, 2015; Oztekin et al., 2013; Sagar and Saha, 2017) This approach involves using different machine learning algorithms like Neural network, support vectors machine, decision tree, linear regression  and the likes to generate and model users usability  data. This can then be used for prediction and consequently  give a better insight into usability data. This has however suffered several limitations partly because of the nature of data that is required for machine learning training and the low performance output of the machine learning algorithms used in the models  (Korvald et al., 2014; Sagar and  Saha, 2017; Taj et al., 2019).

Therefore, to handle the dual problems highlighted above with a view to getting better insight into usability data from users’ perspective and further help in usability users rating prediction, the need arises to integrate machine learning techniques with MCDM approach. This combined data-based and expert-user based approach is the main focus and contribution of this thesis.   This research therefore  is based on integrating  an MCDM  approach based  on fuzzy Analytical  Hierarchical Processing (AHP) with Artificial Neural Network (ANN). This integrated approach handle both the subjective  and objective  aspect of usability  evaluation thereby  eliminating biases  exhibited by human being during evaluation.  More so,  appropriate ranking of websites performance based on usability as well as better user website usability rating is also achieved.

1.2  Statement of the Problem

Usability is a key factor in the quality and success of a website. This is because the ease, comfort,  distraction  or difficulty that users experienced with websites determines their success or failure (Hasan, 2013; Hasan and Morris, 2017; Quinones and Rusu, 2017). Most times,  a number of users experience frustration  due to the fact that the information been sought for on the websites are not readily  available  or  requires  great  efforts  to  access  simply  due  to  usability  and  accessibility problems in websites  (Jano et al., 2015; Manzoor et al., 2019; Sagar and Saha, 2017). At present there are many usability issues with most academic websites and the major challenge is to know the appropriate usability issues to tackle in order to ensure better usability.  If a website does not meet user expectations  with an appropriate level of usability,  it will lead to increase in website failure rate. As a result, users’ ratings about the website will be poor  (Esmeria and Seva, 2017; Nagpal  et  al.,  2016a;  Yerlikaya  and  Durdu,  2017).  Though    attempts  have  been  made  by researchers to identify different criteria of website usability in the academic field, there is yet to be a widely acceptable model  (Kaur et al., 2016a; Quinones and Rusu, 2017; Subair and Aleisa, 2016)

More so, most studies focused more on website quality criteria but only a few focused-on website usability  especially  in  academic  domain  and  such  are  not  adequate  considering  its relative importance. Also, providing a machine learning model for website usability evaluation especially for academic websites is also a great challenge to researchers  in the field of HCI. Most of the existing usability evaluation models have been using the traditional approaches and do not really solve the usability issues (Dingli and Cassar, 2014; Hasan, 2013; Jano et al., 2015; Subair, 2014). Furthermore, classifying website usability based on users rating is non- existence and this is very important with the advent of data mining. This implies that, there is no existing model that can aid in classifying  and predicting  user rating based on website usability  so as to know the class a particular website belongs based on some criteria or parameters.  So, the need arises to develop better models which are clear,  simple, easy to use and can in in users’ website usability prediction with good performance.

1.3  Aim and Objectives of the Study

The aim ofthe study is to develop an Integrated Fuzzy AHP and ANN Model for Website Usability

Evaluation. The aim will be achieved through the following objectives.

I.     To identify and formulate a hierarchy ofcriteria for academic websites usability evaluation.

II.      To develop a fuzzy AHP model based on the criteria identified above to determine and measure the weight of the usability criteria.

III.      To carry out comparison  evaluation  on the data obtained  from model   (ii) above using different machine learning algorithms.

IV.      To integrate the model with Artificial Neural Network for users’  website usability rating classification.

V.      To evaluate the performance  of the integrated  model using  standard machine  learning performance evaluation metrics.

1.4  Significance of the Study

The   website  of a university  gives the first impression   about the   school,  it is therefore very essential for each university to create a usable,  visually attractive and appropriate web presence (Ismailova  and Kimsanova,  2017).  Poor usability  often means poor user interaction  and hence reduced user acceptance and satisfaction.  Due to neglect of usability issues, a lot of time, efforts and money  are being  wasted  from time  to time  on redesigning  academic  websites  in many educational institutions. The intention to continue or quit browsing a website depends on the first impression with the website A website that is acceptable will be judged  by users within a minute and  if they are not satisfied with the content, the websites will be discarded (Ulutas, 2019).  This may force some potential students and faculty to abandon the websites if the required information is not readily available.  This study will be of immense benefits to users of academic websites, the management as well as web designers of various academic institutions.

Users   will   find   it  very   easy   to  retrieve   required   information  effectively,   efficiently   and satisfactorily  while reducing  cognitive  load.  The management  of the institution  will also benefit by spending less money, efforts and time on rebranding and redesigning websites on regular basis. Web  designers  on  the  other  hand  will  be  able  to  know  which  area(s)  of the  websites  need improvement and  attention  so as to  improve  the  usability.   Therefore,  knowing  the  important criteria that influence usability  is very important as it will help the stake holders to pay attention to factor(s) with the highest weight and then identify the best way to improve it (Roy et al., 2014).

1.5  Scope and Limitation of the study

This research covers only the usability aspect of websites which is a very important component of website quality. The data collected covers users’ interaction with six identified university websites with good webometric  presence.  Users testing used are both the moderated  and unmoderated which include also laboratory test conducted during the different phases of the study.    The class of the ANN is a binary class based on user’s  evaluation.  The target audience of the study are enrolled students; both undergraduates and postgraduates.

This study only takes into consideration the usability aspects of human computer interface;  in this case university  websites.  Though  the study can be extended  to other genre  of websites  but the target  users  are  mostly  users  of academic  websites.  Also,  the  last  phase  study  is  limited  to laboratory  setting where the users’ activities with the websites  in use can be easily observed  for authentic  and  adequate  data  collection.  The  choice  of machine  learning  algorithms  used  in performance  evaluation is limited to those with high accuracy.



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