ABSTRACT
The study was motivated by the continuous rise in the poverty level in Nigeria amidst the country’s vast human and material resources that can guarantee sustainable economic growth and development and also the pervasive gender inequality that persists among households. It is on this premise that this study assessed Millennium Development Goal (MDG) with special focus on goal one and goal three, and implications for Sustainable Development .The study was guided by five research objectives and tested four hypotheses. Data was sourced from the MDGs database, World Development Indicators, UNESCO institute for statistics data series on enrolment and the United Nations statistics division; with the aid of segmented regression model of analysis. The results suggest that the Millennium Development Goals development policy had no significant effect on the poverty situation in Nigeria and on the proportion of employed population below $1.25 per day while there were significant improvements on the share of women in the wage level in the non-agricultural sector and on educational parity in Nigeria. The study therefore recommendsthat conscious efforts be made to end poverty in all its forms everywhere as indicated in the Sustainable Development Goal 1. Also, States and Federal Government agencies responsible for the implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) should be pragmatic in their responsibilities and also employs sound monitoring strategies. There should be emphasis on tracking progress on the indicators for the targets and goals by setting up viable and longevity programs that will enhance sustainable development by 2030.This can be justified by the fact that once poverty and all its forms can be ended, sustainable development is guaranteed.
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background of the Study
Nigeria with a population of over 160 million people and a land area of 923,773km2is well- endowed with vast human and material resources that can guarantee sustainable economic growth and development (National Bureau of Statistics, 2010). Nigeria rebased its GDP from
1990 to 2010, resulting in an 89% increase in the estimated size of the economy. As a result, the country now boasts of having the largest economy in Africa with an estimated nominal GDP of USD 510 billion, surpassing South Africa’s USD 352 billion (African Economic Outlook, 2014).
However, since the global economic crisis of the 1980s and the introduction of the Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) in 1986, Nigeria has been plagued with some serious economic problems. One of such problem is the increase in the level of poverty. There is widespread miserly among majority of Nigerians because their living standard has deteriorated due to low income and hunger. Only a small proportion of the population of Nigeria has access to education, health care services, good roads and adequate shelter. Poverty has also led to increases in crime, child labour, child abandonment, high child and maternal mortality rates and reduction in life expectancy of most adults (Ijaiya, 1998)
It was observed by Aigbokhan, (2008) that poverty reduction has received increased focus in development debate in the past two decades and progress on poverty reduction has become a major measure of success of development policy. Meanwhile, the reduction of poverty is the most difficult challenge facing any country in the developing world where on the average: majority of the population is considered poor. To fight the poverty scourge, surging crime rate and incidence of poverty, different government administrations introduced diverse poverty reduction policies (PRPs) to redress the problems and challenges (Eriki and Okafor,
2005) thereby making Nigerians creative, innovative and resourceful to create more wealth and improve their general wellbeing. Some of the poverty reduction policies (PRPs) initiated by different regimes in Nigeria before and after the implementation of MDGs include: National Accelerated Food Production Programme (NAFPP) and Nigerian Agricultural Cooperative Bank (NACB) in the year 1972 and 1973; Operation Feed the Nation (OFN),
1976; Green Revolution Programme (GRP), 1979; Directorate of Food, Roads and Rural
Infrastructure (DFRRI) , 1983; National Agricultural Land Development Authority
(NALDA); Family Economic Advancement Programme (FEAP) and Family Support Programme (FSP), 1987; National Poverty Eradication Programme (NAPEP), 2001; National Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy (NEEDS); However, the National Economic and Empowerment Development Strategy (NEEDS) of 2004 with its States and Local government versions; SEEDS and LEEDS respectively are direct responses to the MDGs; “Seven-Point Agenda; Economic Transformation Agenda including the Vision
20:2020 presently under implementation (Raimi et al, 2011).
However, evidence in Nigeria shows that the proportion of people under the poverty line has continued to increase as shown below
Table 1.1: Poverty Profile for Nigeria
Year | Poverty Incidence (%) | Estimated Population (Million) | Population in poverty (Million) |
1980 | 27.2 | 65 | 17.1 |
1985 | 46.3 | 75 | 34.7 |
1992 | 42.7 | 91.5 | 39.2 |
1996 | 65.6 | 102.3 | 67.1 |
2004 | 54.4 | 126.3 | 68.7 |
2010 | 69.0 | 163 | 112.47 |
Source: National Bureau of Statistics. HNLSS 2010
The proportion of the population living below the poverty line increased significantly from
1980 to 2010. The incidence of poverty increased during the period 1980-1996; however, there was a decline in poverty level between 1996 and 2004. In spite of the observed drop in poverty in 1992 and 2004, the population in poverty was 4.5 million higher than the 1985 figure and 1.6 million higher than the 1996 figure. According to Kankwanda(2002), the reduction in poverty level to 54.4% in 2004 may be traceable to reforms introduced to alleviate poverty since the declaration of the MDGS in September, 2000.
It was opined by Anyogu and Arinze-Umobi (2011) that the Nigerian economy is an agrarian one and women constitute the majority of the poor. They however said that women are characterized by landlessness, as women are not allowed to own land traditionally in many parts of Nigeria although women can today, acquire land by purchase or by allocation from government. Many are remote from development assistance due to time, health and illiteracy constraints. The gender dimension of poverty is therefore greatly reinforced.Equal gender relations are the key principles in the distribution of valued resources in any society. Gender
inequality generally manifests as a pervasive division that channels access to social and economic resources away from women and towards men (Ahmed, 2004). The high incidence of poverty among women is associated with unequal access to productive resources and control of assets. This, in addition to poor health, lack of education, personal insecurity and limited participation in public life, result in the double disadvantage of poor women thus, perpetuating gender inequality (Department for International Development, 1997).
Therefore, a focus on poverty will necessarily mean a focus on women. This is because the
2011 United Nations Population Statistics indicates that women constitute more than fifty percent of the global population. This is true because in most nations of the world, females represent about fifty percent or more of the population and yet the fact of their profound marginalization and vulnerability has remained the bane of global development (Wiest et al.,
2004). Most women all over the world share a common feature of marginalization in many spheres of life (Igbuzor, 2005). Poor women bear a disproportionately high burden of maternal mortality and morbidity and this is traceable to the lack of empowerment of women in accessing education. According to Department for International Development (2007), it is difficult to exaggerate how vital gender equality is. It further stated that gender inequality has nothing to do with political correctness, but everything to do with justice. It is not about tinkering with social conventions, but about unlocking more than half the world’s poorest people from being trapped in poverty.
As a result of these observed phenomena in almost all developing economies of the world, there was a consensus call for global approach to the problem and solution to poverty worldwide. Therefore after keen observation and deliberation, the international community decided to present common goals towards poverty eradication globally. This was what brought about the subject matter “Millennium Development Goals”.
The Millennium Development Goals was to act as policy guidelines on international efforts to combat extreme poverty and promote sustainable development among member countriesadopted by one hundred and eighty-ninenations and signed by one hundred andforty seven heads of state and government in New Yorkduringthe UN Millennium Summit in September, 2000. The MDGs consisted of eight goals, decomposedinto eighteen (18) quantifiable targets andmeasurable by forty eight (48) indicators to beachieved in a period of fifteen years starting fromyear 2000. This was corroborated by Social Watch (2008), which
reported that the overall goal of the Millennium Declaration which gave birth to the MDGs was a reinstatement of commitment to free all men, women and children from the abject and dehumanizing conditions of extreme poverty by the year 2015. As a result of this, Bello (2007) argued that the year 2000 has often been recognized by the United Nations, governments and concerned citizens alike, as the year when the world had an unprecedented opportunity to put in place the policies and resources needed to fight global poverty and achieve international development through non-discriminatory education especially gender based.
The MDGs were the highest-level expression of the international community’s development priorities. They committed the international community to an action agenda which emphasized sustainable, human development as the key to fulfilling social and economic progress. All 189 Member States of the United Nations pledged to achieve these goals by the year 2015 (Abama and Kwaja, 2009). Though the MDGs were eight in number, assessing goal one and goal three which were focused on eradicating extreme poverty and hunger as well as promoting gender equality and empowering women (United Nations Development Report, 2011) are the primary focus in this study.
By targeting $1.25 per day poverty, Millennium Development Goal 1 directs attention to the poorest nations and the poorest groups within the country.This goal wascentred on the eradication of extremepoverty and hunger. This goal had two majortargets;the first target was measuredby the proportion of the population livingbelow US$1.25 per day, poverty gap ratio and theshare of the poorest quintile in national consumption.The second target was the halving of the proportionof people who suffer from hunger, measurableby the prevalence of underweight childrenunder five years of age and the proportionof the population living below minimum level ofdietary energy consumption.
Also, the promotion ofgender equality and the empowerment of women which was the third goal had a target aimed ateliminating gender disparity in primary and secondaryeducation, preferably by 2005 and to alllevels of education not later than 2015. Thebenchmarks for this target were the ratio of girlsto boys in primary, secondary and tertiary education;ratio of literate females to males of ages15-24 year old; share of women in wage employmentin non- agricultural sector; and the proportionof seats held by women in the parliament.
Since the adoption of these goals in 2000, member countries of the UN (Nigeria inclusive) have made great strides towards the attainment of these goals. Nigeria has in collaboration with UN agencies like United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation (UNESCO), United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), World Bank (WB) and other Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) executed projects aimed at meeting the set targets for the attainment of the goals. Conspicuous among these measures was the huge investment in various measures for the fight against poverty and the education of women and girls. For instance, the National Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy (NEEDS) described as a medium term strategy was one of the poverty eradication measures put in place by the Nigerian Federal Government (Chukwuemeka, 2009).
In Nigeria, some laudable efforts were made to put in place the necessary mechanisms required for the elimination of gender discrimination so as to ensure gender parity and human dignity. The National Gender Policy, which replaced and reinforced the previous National Policy on Women, was particularly targeted at the gender inequality problematic in Nigeria. In the face of the above, the history of development policies in Nigeria has somewhat been that of lackadaisical attitude to the gender variable. The first two decades of development planning in Nigeria from 1963 when it became a Republic, for instance, was largely characterized by gender- blind and gender-insensitive development policies (Ejumudo, 2013). In the same vein, Nigeria, particularly since the wake of the 1980s, embraced gender-biased economic policies where women’s interests were subsumed within the national interest and gender sensitivity was almost inconsequential, infinitesimal and a non-issue. With the adoption of the Millennium Development Goals by the United Nations in September 2000 more interest has been generated and a better attention paid to the pursuit of gender sensitive policies at both global and national levels.
Cognizance of the fact that the time frame for the attainment of the MDGs elapsed in September, 2015 accompanied with the introduction of the Sustainable Development Goals with seventeen goals and one hundred and sixty nine targets, mindful of the important
position women occupy in 21st century economies, especially in Nigeria, aware of the
increasing poverty among the Nigerian citizenry, especially among the female gender, and bearing in mind the revolving role of education in the attainment of these goals, it is pertinent that for empirical evidence, and a need for contributions to the advancement of
knowledge, better economic policies for the fight against poverty among women in Nigeria, one begins assessing Millennium Development Goal one and Millennium Development Goal three to know the extent to which these goals were achieved and to identify priority areas for SDGs realizing that goal 1 and goal 3 are the bedrock for the attainment of the other goals.
1.2 Statement of the Problem
The Nigerian economy which now boast of having the largest economy in Africa and also characterized by vast human and material resources that guarantees economic growth and development aims to attain sustainable development by 2030. Sustainable Development Goals which replaced Millennium Development Goals now acts as the development policy guidelines to attain this objective. This is because according to Kakwanda, 2002; Edoh, 2003; and Mahammed, 2006, a nation’s first goal must be to end poverty and satisfy the primary needs for all its citizens in a way that will not jeopardize the opportunity for the future generations to attain the same objective and also eradicating poverty is regarded as the most important goal of human development which must be about improvement of human wellbeing, removal of hunger, disease and promoting productive employment for all.
However, more than fifty percent of the population in sub-Saharan Africa still lived in extreme poverty in 2015 (Millennium Development Goals Report, 2015). Meanwhile, for Nigeria to have attained the target one of the MDGs, poverty was supposed to be reduced from 42 per cent in 1990 to 21 per cent in 2015. But by 2010, Okpe and Abu, (2009) perspicaciously remarked that Nigeria witnessed a monumental increase in the level of poverty. According to them, poverty level stood at 74.2 per cent in the year 2000.
On another front, women in Nigeria as in most African countries are disproportionately poor; disempowered and severely constrained by lack of access to basic services and other productive assets.Several factors including; girl child marriages, gender biases against girls’ education, women’s limited mobility, women’s lack of control over fertility decisions, gender gaps in wages amongst others further contribute in making women disadvantaged and ill- equipped to face the economic challenges of the time.
Meanwhile, gender inequality within the overall society and across all sectors reflects wide disparities between men and women. This, thus contribute to uneven development and the feminization of poverty. For example, Canadian International Development Agency, 2012 is
of the opinion that 65% of those living below the poverty line are women among the 70% of population estimated to be living below the poverty line.
In addition, Ejumudo (2013), asserted that gender parity in school enrolment has a multi- dimensional advantage and a multiplier effect notably because it will help to reduce poverty, lower mortality rates and promote concern for the environment, aside from the opportunity to learn skills and acquire knowledge that will encourage their participation in the development process through social, economic and political decision-making.
The problem poses a concern to the researcher because despite the diverse poverty reduction policies (PRPs) and romance with MDGs, the wellbeing of the Nigerians has not really improved as evidenced from reliable socio-economic data. International rating agencies especially UNDP reported that the indices of poverty in Nigeria are worsening, with about
70% of the population living below poverty lines of less than a $1.25 a day (Ani, 2011). Also taking note from the assertions of Ejumudo, 2013; gender equality is not only seen as an end or intrinsic value in itself and as a human right issue, but as a pre-requisite for attaining sustainable development and its centrality to attaining all other MDGs. More importantly, realizing that the Millennium Development Goals elapsed in September, 2015 which has given way for Sustainable Development Goals, the researcher intends to specifically assess the Millennium Development Goal one and Millennium DevelopmentGoal threeperformance using selective indicators from the targets in order to identify priority areasand implications for Sustainable Development in Nigeria. This has led to the following research questions;
1.3 Research Questions
1. How has MDGsdevelopment policy impactedon the poverty situation in Nigeria?
2. To what extent hasMDGs development policy had impact on employment in Nigeria?
3. What is the impact of the MDGs policy on the wage level of women in the non- agricultural sector in Nigeria?
4. What is the effect of the MDGs development policy on educational parity in Nigeria?
5. What are the post priority areas for post MDGs policy focus in Nigeria?
1.4 Objectives of the Study
The broad objective of the study is to assess Nigeria’s MDG one and three performance and its implication for Sustainable Development. Specifically, the study intends to consider the following:
1. To assess the impact of MDGs development policy on the poverty situation in Nigeria
2. To measure the impact of the MDGs development policy on employment in Nigeria
3. To analyse the impact of MDGs development policy on the wage level of women in the non-agricultural sector in Nigeria.
4. To examine the effect of MDGs development policy on educational parity in Nigeria
5. To identify priority areas for post MDG development policy (SDGs) in Nigeria
1.5 Research Hypotheses
Ho1: There exists no significant impact of MDGs on the poverty situation in Nigeria
Ho2: There exists no significant impact of MDGs on employment in Nigeria.
Ho3: There exists no significant impact of MDGs on the wage level of women in the non- agricultural sector in Nigeria
Ho4: There exists no significant effect of MDGs on educational parity in Nigeria
1.6 Scope of the Study
Geographically, the study covers the Federal Republic of Nigeria. Content wise, the study is concerned with assessing the MDG one and MDGthree, that is; eradication of extreme poverty and hunger; To cut in half the proportion of people living on less than $1.25 a day, to achieve decent employment for women, men and young people and promote gender equality and empower women – Eliminate gender disparities in primary and secondary education by
2005 and in all levels of education by 2015. The scope also reflected pre and post MDGs era of goal one and goal three.
However, the targets that represented MDGs in the study are the proportion of people living on less than $1.25 dollar a day, decent employment for women, men and young people and they will be used as proxy to poverty situation in Nigeria and employment in Nigeria respectively which captured objective one and two of the study. Also, the gender disparity in education and economic empowerment of women will be used as proxy to educational parity in Nigeria and wage level of women in the non-agricultural sector in Nigeria respectively captured objective three and four of the study.
Therefore,the specific variables that were used for the study under these targets were; percentage of population below $1.25 a day, poverty gap ratio at $1.25 a day, share of poorest quintile in national consumption, GDP growth per employed person, employment rate, proportion of employed population below $1.25 per day, proportion of family-based workers in employed population, share of women in wage employment in the non-agricultural sector, and gender parity indices for primary, secondary and tertiary level enrolment.
1.7 Significance of the Study
This study shall benefit the government with relevant and reliable information on the extent to which the MDG one and three were achieved in Nigeria and also contribute to the debate on sustainable development, its implications as well as recommend policy options for sustainable development in Nigeria.
Also, it is hoped that the expected results of this research work should sway policy makers and advisers in closely related fields in framing and implementing policies for sustainable development in Nigeria.To the researchers, this shall become another body of closely related works so as to readily provide a pool of data for subsequent works.
1.8 Limitation of the Study
Just like every standard research study, this study was not void of limitations. One of the limitations of this study was data availability. In fact, the study found it difficult to assess documents that had reliable start and end data set between the baseline period and the end of implementation period. Furthermore, the study was not a sponsored one and so could not experience the smooth process that it would have if it had adequate funds.
1.9 Organization of the Study
The study is organized in five chapters; the first chapter detailed the background of the study showing the related works, policies and the existing debate, followed by the statement of the problem that showed the research and economic problem of the study that translates into research questions and objectives of the study. The second chapter detailed the existing theoretical and empirical literature on the subject matter while chapter three showed thetheoretical framework and model specification employed in the study and the presentation of results and evaluation of hypotheses were discussed in chapter four. The last chapter captioned as chapter five, summarized the study, concludes and proffered recommendations from the findings and then proposed areas for further research.
This material content is developed to serve as a GUIDE for students to conduct academic research
ASSESSMENT OF NIGERIA’S MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT>
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